Market News: The United Nations General Assembly adopted a resolution by an overwhelming majority, demanding an immediate and unconditional permanent ceasefire in the Gaza Strip.Tesla's share price has reached a record high after three years, and its market value has increased by 556 billion US dollars in six weeks. Tesla's share price has reached a record high for the first time since November 2021. Investors are optimistic that the company's autonomous driving business will be promoted after President-elect Trump takes office. Tesla shares rose 5.9% to close at $424.77 on Wednesday, and analysts have made positive comments on Tesla's prospects in the past week. Since Trump won the election on November 5, Tesla's share price has soared by 69%, which has greatly increased its market value by more than 556 billion US dollars.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.
Sunac China's domestic debt restructuring has entered a critical stage. "Sunac China has a large number of domestic creditors and a complex structure. Within seven working days, two domestic debt restructurings were approved, reflecting the creditors' recognition of the plan. " People close to Sunac China said. "The biggest feature of Sunac China's restructuring plan is that creditors can choose a variety of restructuring methods, and creditors can choose the appropriate method according to their own capital characteristics." Liu Shui, director of enterprise research at the China Central Finger Research Institute, said that the scheme can reduce the debt scale, greatly extend the debt repayment period, help to repair the company's balance sheet and create conditions for the improvement of the company's operating fundamentals. It is understood that Sunac China is one of the first real estate enterprises in the industry to propose an overall solution to domestic debt. Before that, the industry had experienced a series of debt-conversion explorations such as debt extension, debt restructuring, reverse mixed reform and bankruptcy restructuring, among which debt extension was the first choice for most real estate enterprises to convert debt. (Securities Daily)Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)Beijing successfully sold the first unlimited land plot since the price limit, with a transfer amount of 11.054 billion yuan. On December 12, the R2 second-class residential land of the land development project for shantytown renovation in Wanquansi Village, Fengtai District, Beijing was successfully sold at the reserve price, with a transfer amount of 11.054 billion yuan, which is also the first unlimited land plot sold in Beijing since the price limit in 2021. It is worth mentioning that this plot is the third plot with a total price exceeding 10 billion besides the old transformation of Jiuxianqiao in Chaoyang+the shed transformation of Sunheqian Weigou Group+the plot 0017 in Chaoyang Park North District of Zhongguancun, and the plot of Jiuxianqiao+shibalidian+xiaohongmen Group. (CSI Taurus)
The first-line private placement has become the strategic focus of "going to the position" and "adding flexibility". Recently, the A-share market has continued to fluctuate and strengthen, and market trading tends to be active. The private equity industry's judgment on the market outlook is generally positive. A number of first-line private placements said in an interview with reporters this week that the A-share market is expected to start up at the end of the year, and it is an important strategy to focus on "technological growth" and "domestic demand" in terms of structural mainline, maintain a high position and increase portfolio flexibility. (CSI Taurus)Standard & Poor's: It is expected that the rise of trade protectionism in major economies will damage the GDP growth of most emerging markets, but the impact will depend on specific policies. Central banks in emerging markets are expected to take a more cautious stance, but monetary easing will continue."The number of accounts opened exceeds expectations" is a general evaluation of the pilot situation of personal pension in the industry. Starting with the announcement of the pilot list of 36 cities (regions) on November 25th, 2022, by the end of June 2023, in less than one year, the number of people opening individual pension accounts has reached 40.3 million, and by the end of June 2024, the number of people opening individual pension accounts in China has exceeded 60 million. (Securities Times)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide